Osborne’s dividend tax wedge catches FIRE

Today’s budget, Osborne’s first ‘pure’ budget, is a fascinating bundle of policy, politics and posturing.  For us FIRE eaters, there is plenty to think about.  But for me there is one unambiguous negative: the tax hike on dividends for those of us with sizeable investments.

Dividend taxes are notoriously difficult to understand.  I find the easiest way to understand it has been to consider the Government as wanting to tax (and I mean tax – they ignore National Insurance here) people the same whether they earn money as salary or whether they incorporate as a company and then pay themselves retained profits as dividends.   The system we’ve had for years has seen the Government do this as follows – taking £1000 of salary/profit as the starting point:

  • Tax the company ~20% corporation tax.  Leaving £800 retained profit, payable by the company as a dividend to its shareholders.
  • Give shareholders a tax credit with their £800 dividend, amounting to one ninth of their dividend.  This basically was a slight fudge, and said the government was treating £800 divi as being £889 paid gross, with £89 of it having already been collected as tax (even though actually £200 has been collected as tax, tut tut).
  • Then tax dividends receivers at special rates (which was a quid pro quo for the slight fudge mentioned above).  Basic rate taxpayers paid 10% i.e. £89 which, hey presto, it turns out they have already paid, leaving no extra tax due.  Higher rate tax payers paid 32.5% on the £889, i.e. £200 extra, leaving them with £600.  This is, surprise surprise, what they’d have been left with net of tax if they’d received an extra £1000 of taxable salary.

Continue reading “Osborne’s dividend tax wedge catches FIRE”

My investment returns in June ’15

My directly invested portfolio delivered one of its worst ever monthly returns in June.  With preliminary numbers now in, I’m down about 3.4%.  I’ve updated my returns page here.

What happened?  In a word, Greece; markets were down everywhere,  FTSE-100 was down over 6%, a particularly bad performance; European equities ex UK were down 4.4% (as so often, the UK is like an inferior version of the Euro, no matter what the ‘kippers will tell you); Australian equities were down about 4.6% (in GBP). Fixed income (at least the corporate bond types that I like) were down too: -3.2% in the UK, 2% in the USA, and 1-1.2% in Oz/ROW.   When equities and fixed income are down everywhere, I will suffer.

Thanks to the suggestion of @RIT, I have started tracking the market returns in each geography/asset type that I track against.  The back of my envelope suggests the markets I’m exposed to fell, weighted by my exposure, 4.4% last month.  Against that backdrop, I’ll take a drop of 3.4%.

The real fun starts this week, now that Greece has overwhelmingly voted to have nothing to do with the reforms the Eurozone insists are required to stay in the Euro.

My IPS, 4 of 5: Target allocations

This is the fourth of five posts laying out my Investment Policy Statement in detail. This post examines my target allocation.

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In post two I already explained how my allocation splits my investment portfolio by geography (UK:US:Oz:Other) and by asset class (equity: fixed income: cash).

My geographic breakdown roughly follows the ‘matching principle’, under which I want my portfolio to mirror the countries I spend my life in. I live and work in the UK. I spend about two months of each year abroad on holidays, roughly one third in Oz, one third in the rest of the EU, and one third further afield (definitely including the USA). I can imagine spending more time in either the EU (France? Spain? Italy?) or in Oz.

I modify my geographic breakdown based on where the best stock markets for me are. This brings the USA up a lot. The USA not only accounts for about a third of global markets, but I trust its regulations more than most others’. Also it has well over half the world’s interesting tech stock capitalisation; I quite like tech stocks, and if they paid dividends i’d like them even more. One final factor is that I find the fixed income ETFs and high yield equities available in the USA far more interesting and varied than those I can find elsewhere. Until recently I could find a UK-tradeable Australian fixed income ETF at all, for instance. So the UK gets 55pc, the USA gets 25pc of my portfolio, Australia gets 6pc. Non-english speaking markets get ‘the rest’. I am definitely light on the European and Asian markets and should probably reduce my UK weight; 50pc weighting would be easy enough. But for now I have not done this.

I am pretty aggressive in my appetite for risk, and fortunate enough to be high enough net worth that I hope I could cope with quite a drop in net worth. So equities get a high weighting. Right now this is 80pc.

This leaves two obvious questions:
Continue reading “My IPS, 4 of 5: Target allocations”