Feb ’26: Before Iran

So, for the avoidance of doubt, the end of the month is the last trading day of the month. Which for February, meant Friday February 27th.

The fact that the Israelis and the Americans invaded Iran on February 28th is going to impact March, not February.

Which is just as well because I had quite a lot of activity in February.

Simplifying the portfolio, pt3

While the weather in the UK was pretty unremittingly miserable, I found myself rearranging quite a few of the portfolio’s deckchairs.

One of my longstanding and most thoughtful readers made a comment on my blog recently that resonated with me. @Grasmi is a Brit who has emigrated abroad – to Australia, so far as I can gather. He is a bit further ahead of me on the path to portfolio enlightenment, and here is what he said:

I vastly simplified my portfolio years ago. I’m down to 8 positions now (7 ETF’s and BRK – so basically 8 ETFs). Never looked back. Less levers to pull = less stress and “busy work”.

After doing the cleanup a long time back, over time you basically “can’t” fiddle any more due to CGT… which is a lot of ways is quite freeing. There’s always a temptation to do something, but once you’ve got large accumulated CG’s in a simple portfolio, that urge goes away. Any change you make needs to make back the cost of any CGT bill (for me this is 20-30%+) just to break even, so I’m very reluctant to make any changes.

Longtime readers will know I went through a concert effort at simplification back in 2020. What I’m left with is about 90 unique holdings held across 9 brokers (6, really; 3 of them are offshore bonds/equivalent that I barely touch and don’t need to file tax reporting on). As at the end of 2025, only 64 of these holdings were in unsheltered accounts – i.e. accounts that need tax filing.

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AI comes to FI

Rishi Sunak, the former UK prime minister and current Sunday Times journalist, observes that every CEO is talking about AI – so why aren’t political leaders? So it seems a good time to bring some AI into the world of FI blogging.

Large Language Models such as ChatGPT have been mesmerising, but it doesn’t take long playing with them to realise they are much better with Language than with Numbers. However with the latest models bringing more inference into their logic that is starting to change.

I’ve been playing with Claude and Gemini in the context of my portfolio and blog. They are proving genuinely useful. For reference, I am a paying customer of both – and am using Projects/Gems to partition my experimentation and (I believe) avoid uploading key financial data into their wider cloud/models.

Key tasks AI has proven useful for so far (UPDATED 21 Feb) include:

  • Take my 24/25 tax return and estimate my tax bill for the next financial year. Gemini notably better than Claude on this one.
  • Review a 24/25 tax return for errors. A HNW friend of mine found a £100k error in his accountant-prepared tax return using Claude.
  • Update dividend yields and TERs/OCFs in my master portfolio list. This is a task made for Claude.
  • Estimate the next set of dividends I can expect – based on a screenshot of my portfolio – good dopamine hit!
  • Disaster scenarios – examining the disaster scenarios my portfolio faces, and the warning signals for each

As a taster I’ve appended below what Claude said when I asked it what Warren Buffett/Charlie Munger would think of my portfolio.

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Dec ’25: 2025 in review

It’s over. The year of 2025, the thirteenth year I’ve been systematically tracking my investment portfolio every month, is over.

One of the reasons I blog is to track my performance with a bit more discipline and rigour than I might manage otherwise. And part of that process is to review the portfolio not just monthly, but with a bit more depth each year.

Seven questions to assess my portfolio

For the last few years I have answered seven questions – with a variety of analyses that I don’t conduct every month. These seven questions are as follows:

Q1 – How did markets do?

Q2 – How did I do, vs my benchmark?

Q3 – What is my progress towards my retirement goals?

Q4 – How tax efficient is my portfolio?

Q5 – What fees am I paying?

Q6 – How complex is my porfolio?

Q7 – What key risks am I taking?

What’s the answer? Lots to like this year

This year is no different, insofar as I have considered each of these seven questions. But rather than simply copy/paste last year’s post, with minor updates, I’m going to cut to the punchline.

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