August ’24: From triumph to tragedy

Looking back on the month, it was more eventful than Augusts are reputed to be.

In the UK we are getting used to our new government. And, in some cases, violently testing its boundaries with some summer rioting. We’ve seen some dreadful street behaviour, frequently of a racist / anti-Muslim nature. Thankfully it hasn’t really impacted London, where racism is mercifully rare. The street protests closest to me were jubilant Bangladeshi crowds celebrating the overthrow of Prime Minister Hasina.

Across the channel, the Olympics provided some sporting entertainment. I didn’t make it over there, though, and only watched a couple of events. It was good to see Team GB do creditably well, though beaten on several measures by the Australians and even the Netherland for Pete’s sake. On any sort measure, Europe (inc Team GB, naturellement) thrashed everybody else, though that isn’t how even the FT reported it, and India did typically dreadfully.

Towards the end of the month came the truly horrific tragedy of the sinking of British entrepreneur Mike Lynch’s yacht Bayesian. I don’t think there are any wider lessons for me in this tragedy but somehow it felt very relatable. And to pile mindblowing co-incidence on horrific tragedy, his former business partner (and co defendant in US Federal Court) died earlier that week when hit by a car. If there was a conspiracy at work, it was a particularly devious one, but it is a terrible end to an extraordinary story.

Markets in August 2024

The markets have been nervy and volatile in August. VWRL, Vanguard’s global equity index tracker, was at £102/share on 30 July. During August it dipped to £98, and rose to £104, before finishing on £103. So the signal of the monthly numbers strips out a lot of noise.

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April ’24: Juggling cash as new UK tax year begins

The temperature in the Middle East got even hotter in April, with Israel and Iran trading attacks on each other’s sovereign buildings/territory. Somehow World War III has never really seemed in danger of breaking out but it is a reminder that only change is constant.

Over in New York Donald Trump was falling asleep in court. You have to hand it to him he knows how to stay in the headlines.

The markets in April

Meanwhile the UK stock market continues to fill newspapers for the wrong reasons. Amidst all the doom and gloom – heightened at the end of the month by the takeover of Darktrace, a rare UK tech stock – you might have missed that the FTSE-100 is not only at a record level but in fact outperfomed other markets significantly in April.

All the markets seem to want to know now is when interest rates are coming down, and how fast. April saw expectations of cuts dampened / postponed, which appears to have dampened valuations of both equities and bonds. In the US this was heightened by an increasing sense that the AI-driven tech boom may have got a bit ahead of itself – there is still little to show for concrete extra revenue / cost savings (bar a few notables such as Klarna) but plenty of increased infrastructure spending.

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Margin loans in the UK – my experience

Everybody’s familiar with the concept of a mortgage, right? But hardly anybody has heard of ‘margin loans’. It turns out that margin loans provide another way to borrow money, one whose advantages mean that wealthy investors tend to prefer them to mortgages, and which is more accessible than you might think.

The UK has the most sophisticated financial services industry in Europe. And in some respects, one of the most sophisticated in the world. But in one area it clearly lags the USA – the stock market. Whether it comes to the size of the stock market, the % of society who own stocks/shares, or the number of stockbrokers – we in the UK are a long way behind our transatlantic cousins.

In the UK, even the concept of ‘margin loans’ would leave financially savvy stockmarket pundits scratching their head. Perhaps a couple of them – www.Monevator.com comments readers I’m sure – would cross-reference to the excellent movie ‘Margin Call‘, starring Kevin Spacey, Demi Moore and Jeremy Irons, but that movie’s lack of success in the UK tells you what you need to know about the wider understanding of ‘margin lending’ in the UK.

As regular readers of this blog know, I am a member of that rare and unusual species – a UK user of margin loans. This page is to serve as some form of introduction to the concept for UK/European readers, as well as summarising some of my experiences and linking to further reading.

What is a margin loan?

Loans generally come in two shapes/sizes – secured loans, and unsecured loans. Secured loans – where the lender has some form of collateral – are cheaper, reflecting the lower risk that the lender is exposed to.

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