economy – FIRE v London

Mar ’25: Anticipating tariffs

2025-04-112025-04-16 FIRE v London5 Comments

What’s in the news?

Talking about the news in March, given what’s been happing on the tariff front over the last few weeks, seems a bit pointless.

We entered March with a lot of drama about Ukraine, and some notable ‘ceasefire’ activity on the diplomatic front.

We finished March waiting for ‘liberation day’, April 2nd, when Trump unleashed a basically bonkers cocktail of tariffs on every country in the world – except Russia, of course.

What’s going on with me?

In the meantime, life goes on.

I attended a funeral of a long time friend and neighbour in north London.

I visited a rather bizarre concert in the Royal Festival Hall.

And I visited hospital for my first MRI scan, participating in a clinical research programme at University College London Hospital. I was impressed, I have to say, and grateful that I live within relatively easy reach of this excellent hospital.

I also visited Dorset – Studland to be precise – and went yomping up to Old Harry Rocks, the start of the Jurassic Coast. It’s a beautiful part of the world, and less than 3 hours from London Waterloo.

Markets in March

Markets generally drooped in March, particularly the US’s S&P500. Enthusiasm/animal spirits from Trump’s election win are being replaced by trepidation / concern about Trump not being good for the US economy after all. The dollar, and the AUD, fell against the pound.

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Nov ’24: 3x

2024-12-072024-12-08 FIRE v London5 Comments

London life

I’ve been keeping busy as winter in London sets in. The Christmas lights are all out and looking resplendent, and both the West End and the City are feeling pretty buzzy. For all the general ‘UK stuck in the weeds’ economic commentary, we feel a long way from any talk of recession.

A political month

It’s been a good month for the right wing.

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Sep ’24: Ominous politics, juicy economics

2024-10-13 FIRE v London1 Comment

September was fairly action-packed.

I enjoyed getting out on a friend’s boat around Poole and the Solent.

I made it to the Labour party conference in Liverpool, which was fascinating albeit wet. I am apparently firmly in the tax-raising sights of the Government, but I wasn’t the only potential target at the conference.

I enjoyed some work drinks with an elevated view of the Thames.

I was also invited to a formal dinner at an Oxford college, Harry Potter style.

And I took an out of town visitor around some of the sights in London town.

Markets in September 2024

I didn’t pay enormous attention to the markets in September. The pound continued to rise. Equities generally were quite strong, though the wider mood in the UK is gloomy – with the new Labour government taking a ‘freebies’ hammering in the media, and business fearing the worst from the new government’s budget due on 30 October. Inflation news was mostly for the better, which helped bonds.

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