In the UK, August was ‘Eat Out To Help Out’ month.
A whizzy gimmick by the government gave us 50% off at restaurants/cafes/pubs on Mondays-Wednesdays. This proved a big hit, with restaurants that have never before opened on a Monday doing a roaring trade. Allegedly 40% of covers were people who hadn’t eaten out since lockdown; if they keep eating out, then the scheme should definitely prove a success.
The UK was jostled off its place on the Covid naughty step in August. Most other European countries saw Covid-19 cases per person rise dramatically, with a bunch of hitherto golden children now scoring worse than the UK. Put simply, the UK has not deteroriated as fast as other places – Ireland, France, the Netherlands are all now officially ‘less safe’ than the UK. Even Greece, largely a collection of sunny disconnected islands, threatens to overtake the UK.
Have BoJo’s “world beating” policy measures finally given the UK its place in the sun? Or, whisper it quietly, has the UK’s travel quarantine policy proved surprisingly appropriate for the summer months – at deterring travel to/from virus hotspots. Are UK workers just too scared to return to the office? Or is the UK’s service-driven economy proving more capable of operating from home than the more traditional workplaces in Italy / Germany / etc? Time will tell.
Meanwhile, I didn’t use the tube or a bus once – though I did use Uber a bit. I don’t think I went into the West End, London’s historic centre, at all. I got around a bit though, finding myself in some enjoyably off-the-beaten track spots.
Lockdown continued to dominate the news in the last month.
Poor old Australia seems not to have escaped Covid so lightly after all. Victoria, at the time of writing, is bearing the brunt of it. With a population of just over 6m, i.e. about the same as Scotland, they now have 11k cases, with 116 deaths to date. Their new daily cases figure of almost 400 amounts to, by my calculations, around 60 per million – which would put Victoria in the worst quartile in Europe.
BoJo would like us to think of these increases as presaging the ‘second wave’. His government is now adjusting the settings almost daily, across several dimensions. One moment, in Oldham a lockdown is applied; the next moment, people across the North West can’t meet others indoors. One moment, masks are now (finally) compulsory in shops; the next moment masks are now required in all indoor public spaces. Meanwhile across the country nobody can now get married, whereas as of yesterday they could.
Rainy Sunday mornings are perfect times to do household admin. In my case household admin centres on my personal finances. This gave me an opportunity to examine what has happened to my income and expenditure during lockdown.
Lockdown in England began on March 23rd, just at the end of Q1. Normality, by which I mean pubs/restaurants, resumed to a large extent on July 4th – just at the start of Q3. This makes Q2 a good period to examine what happened as a result of lockdown.
Income: down 32%
This simplified analysis just looks at cashflows entering/exiting my accounts. This is net of taxes (unlike my annual review which considers gross income and treats taxes as an expense).
The graph above shows what’s happened to my inflows. Dividends fell by ‘only’ 15%. Rent halved. And my earnt income dropped by 30%.
However, to interpret the graph we need some context. In Q2 last year, I moved my Previous Home from ‘rental property’ (with tenants) into ‘for sale’ (empty). So it gave me some rent in the quarter, but not a full amount. I finally sold it in February this year, and moved the proceeds almost immediately into the stock market (at the market’s record highs, sigh). This makes rent and dividends somewhat interchangable across these time periods.